Rising Wedge

A narrowing upward pattern where price forms higher highs and higher lows, but the range contracts before breaking downward. This pattern signals that buyers are losing momentum, and a breakdown confirms a bearish trend.

💡 Significance
  • Suggests that buying pressure is weakening, despite the uptrend.
  • Often leads to a sharp price decline once support breaks.
  • A breakout to the downside confirms the trend reversal.
✳️ Formation Context
  • Forms after a sustained uptrend, where each rally becomes weaker and narrower
  • Pattern develops as price compresses upward within converging lines
  • Signals loss of control by buyers and potential distribution by smart money
🔷 Characteristics
  • Higher highs and higher lows form two converging upward trendlines
  • Volume typically declines as the wedge progresses, showing loss of momentum
  • Breakdown below lower trendline signals start of bearish move
  • May result in false breakouts, so confirmation is essential
🌐 Market Condition
  • Works best in uptrending markets where momentum starts weakening
  • Suited for indices, large-cap stocks, and commodities nearing exhaustion
🎯 Trading Strategy
  • Entry Point: Sell when price breaks below the lower trendline with volume
  • Stop-loss: Just above the last swing high within the wedge
  • Target Price: Measure the height of the wedge base and subtract from breakdown

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