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Rising Wedge

A narrowing upward pattern where price forms higher highs and higher lows, but the range contracts before breaking downward. This pattern signals that buyers are losing momentum, and a breakdown confirms a bearish trend.

Significance

  • Suggests that buying pressure is weakening, despite the uptrend.
  • Often leads to a sharp price decline once support breaks.
  • A breakout to the downside confirms the trend reversal.

Characteristics

  • Higher highs and higher lows, forming a contracting wedge.
  • Breakout usually occurs downward when sellers take control.
  • Volume declines during formation but rises significantly on breakdown.

Market Condition

  • Found within an uptrend, signaling that the bullish momentum is slowing.
  • More effective when supported by indicators like RSI divergence.

Trading Strategy

  • Entry point – Short when price breaks below wedge support with volume.
  • Stop-loss – Above the last swing high to reduce risk.
  • Target price – Measure the wedge height and subtract it from the breakdown level.
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